Appraisal Values
The initial average appraisal value, calculated by combining data from all first and third-party repairable vehicle appraisals uploaded through Mitchell systems in Q3 2017, was $3,019, $16 less than this same period last year. However, continued development suggests a final Q3 2017 average appraisal value of $3,043, which represents an increase over the same quarter last year.
Comprehensive Losses
In Q3 2017, the average initial gross appraisal value for comprehensive coverage estimates processed through our servers was $3,104, compared to $3,387 in Q3 2016. Factoring for development produces an increase in the adjusted value to $3,134.
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Third-Party Property Damage
In Q3 2017, our initial average gross third-party property damage appraisal was $2,803 compared to $2,779 in Q3 2016, reflecting a $24 initial increase between these respective periods. Factoring for development yields an anticipated Q3 2017 adjusted appraisal value of $ 2,821, a $42 increase in average severity over Q3 2016.
Collision Losses
Mitchell鈥檚 Q3 2017 data reflects an initial average gross collision appraisal value of $3,282, $4 less than the same period last year. Continued development suggests a final Q3 2017 average gross collision appraisal value of $3,311, $25 higher compared to the same quarter last year.
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Supplements
Editor's Note
As it generally takes at least three months following the original date of appraisal to accumulate most supplements against an original estimate of repair, we report (and recommend viewing supplement information) three months鈥 after-the-fact to obtain the most accurate view of this data.
In Q3 2017, 38.82% of all original estimates prepared by Mitchell-equipped estimators were supplemented one or more times. In this same period, the pure supplement frequency (supplements to estimates) was 60.38%, reflecting a 2.37 point increase from that same period in 2016. The average combined supplement variance for this quarter was $893.24, $4.36 higher than in Q3 2016.
Average Appraisal Make-Up
This chart compares the average appraisal make-up as a percentage of dollars, constructed by Mitchell-equipped estimators. These data points reflect a 鈥榯rade off鈥; in comparing Q3 2017 to the same period last year, there was only minimal shifting between categories.
Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) Parts Use in Dollars
In Q3 2017, OEM parts represented 64.85% of all parts dollars specified by Mitchell-equipped estimators. This represents a decrease of 0.37 points from Q3 2016.
Aftermarket Parts Use in Dollars
In Q3 2017, 20.87% of all parts dollars recorded on Mitchell appraisals were attributed to Aftermarket sources, up 1.54 points from Q3 2016.
Remanufactured Parts Use in Dollars
Listed as 鈥淣on-New鈥 parts in our estimating platform and reporting products, Remanufactured parts represent 3.86% of the average gross parts dollars used in Mitchell appraisals during Q3 2017. This reflects a decrease of 0.67 points compared to the same period in 2016.
Parts Analysis
Parts Type Definitions
Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM):
Parts produced directly by the vehicle manufacturer or their authorized supplier, and delivered through the manufacturer鈥檚 designated and approved supply channels. This category covers all automotive parts, including sheet metal and mechanical parts.
Aftermarket:
Parts produced and/or supplied by firms other than the Original Equipment Manufacturer鈥檚 designated supply channel. This may also include those parts originally manufactured by endorsed OEM suppliers, which have later followed alternative distribution and sales processes. While this part category is often only associated with crash replacement parts, the automotive aftermarket also includes a large variety of mechanical and custom parts.
Non-New/Remanufactured:
Parts removed from an existing vehicle that are cleaned, inspected, repaired and/or rebuilt, usually back to the original equipment manufacturer鈥檚 specifications, and re-marketed through either the OEM or alternative supply chains. While commonly associated with mechanical hard parts such as alternators, starters and engines, remanufactured parts may also include select crash parts such as urethane and TPO bumpers, radiators and wheels.
Recycled:
Parts removed from a salvaged vehicle and re-marketed through private or consolidated auto parts recyclers. This category commonly includes all types of parts and assemblies, especially body, interior and mechanical parts.
Editor's Note
While there isn鈥檛 a perfect correlation between the types of parts specified by estimators and those actually used during the course of repairs, we feel that the following observations are directionally accurate for both the insurance and auto body repair industries. This section illustrates the percentage of dollars allocated to each unique part-type. As a general observation, recent data show that parts make up 46% of the average value per repairable vehicle appraisal, which represents over $1,400 in average spend per estimate.
Recycled Parts Use in Dollars
Recycled parts constituted 10.42% of the average parts dollars used per appraisal during Q3 2017, reflecting a 0.5% decrease from Q3 2016.
The Number of Parts by Part Type
In order to capture another aspect of parts use, we calculate the number of parts used by part type on a repairable estimate. In comparing Q3 2017 to the same quarter in 2016, aftermarket parts usage increased to an average 2.5 parts per estimate. At the same time, new OEM and Remanufactured parts usage decreased, while recycled parts usage remained flat.
Paint and Materials
During Q3 2017, Paint and Materials made up 10.28% of our average appraisal value, representing a 0.16% relative increase from Q3 2016. Represented differently, the average paint and materials rate鈥攁chieved by dividing the average paint and materials allowance per estimate by the average estimate refinish hours鈥攜ielded a rate of $34.14 per refinish hour in this period, compared to $33.57 in Q3 2016.
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Adjustments
In Q3 2017, the percentage of adjustments made to estimates was down compared to the same period last year. The frequency of betterment taken decreased by 9%, while the average dollar amount of the betterment taken dropped by 2% to $140.78. Appearance allowance frequency also dropped by 8%, while the dollar amount of that appearance allowance increased to $231.98.
Labor Analysis
For 2017 year-to-date, average body labor rates rose in all the survey states compared to 2016.